4
Mr Bond
2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 4 · OR 37
Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 31/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |