3
Just Magnificent
5yo Mare · 8-13 · Draw 3 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |