7
Onehotmess
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 3f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 02/08/2025 | 14th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 14/11/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |