4
Unforgettable Face
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 26th | 26th | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.14 |
| 27/09/2025 | 26th | 150/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |