4
Authentic Gold
2yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 63
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 01/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |