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11

Forza

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 11 · OR 66

Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 1211/08C6C5 @ Woodbine 30/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 59 par30/08C5OR 59projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-08-01Woodbine?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +73.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
30/08/20266th25/10%38%+0.38