3
Tuckamore
2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 3 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |