2

Barger

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 83

Woodbine · Race 9 - Cup & Saucer Stakes · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f 1189/08C7
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Woodbine?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength3%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06