10

Ghostface
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 9 - Cup & Saucer Stakes · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +75.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |