1

King's Counsel
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 9 - Cup & Saucer Stakes · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |