8
Amkar
4yo Gelding · 10-7 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 05/09/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.34 |