13:51 · Stratford

Thanks To Our Raceday Team Past And Present Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 2f 148yGood to FirmClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 94
13/8
Stellarmasterpiece silks

M H O G

6yo Mare · 11-2

Cloth Of Stars - Sister Dam's (Mastercraftsman)

S Bowen80%3/4Micky Hammond60%
551112
9.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Improved again/travelled well to complete a course hat-trick in July before bringing up a cross-code 4-timer on the Flat at Catterick (1½m). Continued in top form when second to a subsequent winner at Sedgefield (2½m) last time. Excels under Sean Bowen and can maintain her unbeaten record here.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/0530/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 2m 2f 148y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%11/05Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%9/09
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-283/100
1
2
OR 106
11/4
Emerald Time silks

Hatch A Plan Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Time Test - Pitter Patter (Nayef)

Toby McCain-Mitchell60%0/1−3lbRyan Hatch
651313
7.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Smooth-travelling type. Doubled his tally courtesy of a more delayed challenge at Uttoxeter (2m) on penultimate start. Still in good form when 5 lengths third at Worcester (2m) latest. Tackles a longer trip now and he'll need to relax in a race that could be steadily run.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0315/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par3/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to FirmDist: 2m 2f 148y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%27/03Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%26/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-552/100
4
3
OR 100
5/1
God Of Fire silks

Ben Hughes

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Muhaarar - Loreto (Holy Roman Emperor)

Jonjo O'Neill Jr.60%1/4J & A O'Neill
241425
5.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Once-useful Flat performer who made the most of a good opportunity to open his hurdles account at Newton Abbot (2¼m) on comeback in July. Remained in good form prior to being let down by his jumping on return to Newton Abbot (2m) latest. Could be well positioned given how this is likely to unfold.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0422/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 17%Dist: 2m 2f 148y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%6/04Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%28/08Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-464/100
2
4
OR 104
3/1
Roarin' Success silks

Hale Racing, Lyle Farming Company & Pt

6yo Mare · 11-12

Roaring Lion - Random Success (Shamardal)

Theo Gillard70%1/3D McCain Jnr60%
245113
8.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Fairly useful Flat performer. Well backed/overcame mistakes when completing a course double over this trip in July. Jumped better when beaten 5¼ lengths off this mark at Bangor subsequently. Should give a good account in her bid to make it 3-3 here.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/0425/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 2m 2f 148y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%10/04Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%16/05Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%8/09
Projected finish4th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%1-464/100
3
5
OR 102
25/1
Educator silks

J & A Young (Racing) Limited

7yo Gelding · 11-10

Deep Impact - Diploma (Dubawi)

Brendan Powell60%0/2Miss H C Knight
565
4.0Class ↓2Going 8.0

Likely campaigned with handicaps in mind when well held in maiden hurdles in 2024/5 season. Landed fairly useful double at Newmarket (1½m) this summer before seemingly going off the boil. Should stay this far on belated return to hurdling and opening mark attractive in the context of his Flat form.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/0613/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 50%Dist: 2m 2f 148y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%15/06Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%4/09Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 11%17/09
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%5-683/100
6
6
OR 71
50/1
Granny B silks

Mr Michael Mullineaux

6yo Mare · 10-2

Acclamation - Debuetantin (Big Shuffle)

William Maggs60%0/1−3lbM Mullineaux
3P5776
2.0
Hood

Maiden whose best handicap form came when placing in back-to-back races at Uttoxeter last May. Hasn't shaped as though ready to capitalise on plummeting mark this season, though, typically taking a strong hold when beaten 17 lengths on return from 2 months off at Worcester last time.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par18/106/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par25/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to FirmDist: 2m 2f 148y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%18/10Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%3/06Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%26/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%25/09
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-574/100