13:05 · Pontefract

Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery

6fGoodClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav2
OR 74
7/2
Turnstile silks

Ontoawinner 10 & Partner

2yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 6

Territories - Poppy Pivot (Pivotal)

D Fentiman60%1/1T D Easterby
333751
6.0Class ↓3

Improvement looked to have stalled but following 9 weeks off/gelding operation, he duly stepped forward to make a winning nursery debut at Ayr (6f, soft), relishing the more testing conditions. Raised 4 lb on the back of that and he could have more to offer now he's up and running.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0612/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par4/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength91%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%6/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 60%30/06Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%17/07Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-752/100
8
4
OR 67
11/2
Kigali silks

Mr And Mrs B V Sangster

2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7

Zoustar - Polar Circle (Royal Academy)

C Lee70%Ollie Sangster
67992
4.0

Went the wrong way from promising start in maidens but proved he's not a lost cause switched to a nursery when second in 8-runner contest at Yarmouth (7f) 3 weeks ago. Needs to back that up now returned to 6f.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0629/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 20%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%14/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%29/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-563/100
4
Top Pick1
OR 70
7/1
Prosperity Angel silks

Hold My Beer Syndicate

2yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 3

Harry Angel - El Hadeeyah (Invincible Spirit)

A Mullen70%1/4B Haslam
3133
7.0Going 9.0

Showed benefit of her debut experience when off the mark in a 5f Thirsk maiden (5f) in August. Respectable efforts both outings since, hampered early when third of 7 on nursery debut at Hamilton (5f, soft) 2 weeks ago. Return to 6f will hold no fears and she's nicely berthed in stall 3.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/077/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0827/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/0820/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%15/07Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%27/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%20/09
Projected finish3rd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%2-938/100
5
5
OR 70
8/1
Desert Smoke silks

Coda Racing 2

2yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 5

Havana Grey - Navajo Spring (Charm Spirit)

Jason Hart60%H Palmer80%
6546
4.0
Blinkers

Havana Grey filly who failed to progress from her debut effort in maiden/novice company but not seen to best effect equipped with blinkers (retained) when sixth of 9 on nursery debut at Musselburgh (5f) 23 days ago. Return to 6f rates a plus on that evidence and has been dropped 3 lb.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0725/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0710/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0812/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 25%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%25/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%10/08Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%12/09
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%1-927/100
6
8
OR 70
10/1
Rex Regum silks

Moulton Racing

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 9

Space Blues - Farzeen (Farhh)

D Tudhope60%Tom Clover
98327
4.0

Continued theme of race-by-race progress when second of 8 on nursery debut at Wolverhampton (6f) in August. Had little go right when seventh of 12 at Lingfield (6f) since (snatched up close home) and has a race in him from this sort of mark.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0513/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 9 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 27%23/05Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 13%13/07Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%27/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%17/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%10/09
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-749/100
2
7
OR 72
9/2
Social Spirit silks

Mr G Routledge Racing

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 8

Oasis Dream - Last Enchantment (Camelot)

Billy Garritty0/6M & D Easterby
568032
5.0Class ↓3

Fair maiden who conjured some improvement back on softer ground for first time since June when second in 10-runner Carlisle nursery (6f) 4 weeks ago, headed post. Hit with a 3 lb rise but he's certainly not discounted with a repeat.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0624/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%5/06Pos 6 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 6 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%20/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%9/09
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%1-842/100
3
3
OR 71
9/2
Floral Maid silks

Mr Keith Brown

2yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 1

Calyx - Saadatt (New Approach)

Cam Hardie70%0/2B Ellison
22
8.0

Calyx filly who continued her promising start when again finding only one too good in a Beverley maiden (5f) 3 weeks ago, doing well considering she was never far away from the strong gallop. Remains open to improvement with the step up to 6f a plus now handicapping.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0816/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 92%30/08Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 92%16/09
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%9-971/100
7
6
OR 68
10/1
State of Gold silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Partner 1

2yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 2

State Of Rest - Agala (Lope De Vega)

William Pyle70%1/3Craig Lidster
857219
5.0Class ↓3

State of Rest filly who scored readily from the front on her handicap bow in 10-runner event at Beverley (7f, good) in August. Appeared to do too much in front when ninth of 10 in nursery at Carlisle (6f) since but well drawn to attack again here.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/0429/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 13%20/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 57%12/06Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 11%9/09
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%1-929/100
9
9
OR 60
25/1
Classyfied silks

Mr K Macpherson & Partner,

2yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 4

Advertise - Al Shoughor (Shalaa)

J P Sullivan60%0/1T D Easterby
5440
3.0

Not without promise in trio of quick-fire runs in maidens but proved easy to back and ran poorly when well held on nursery debut at Southwell (6f) 18 days ago, off bridle before most. Stable look to have much stronger claims with Turnstile.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0824/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/082/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0917/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 25%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%13/08Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%24/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%2/09Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%17/09
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%4-954/100