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15:00 · Stratford

Racing TV Handicap Chase

2m 3f 98yGood to FirmClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 86
13/8
Pescatorius silks

Mr Alistair Price

Pescatorius

7yo Gelding · 11-10

Getaway - Lisdaleen (Saddlers' Hall)

James Best60%0/4B R Summers60%
553532
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Successful on final 2 starts for Olly Murphy last autumn and possesses a likeable way of going about things, giving his all back down in trip following a 12-week break in 21f handicap here last time, no match for a novice who has won again since. Down 2 lb and good chance in refitted cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

31/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par31/1223/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/01 · mark par9/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm · 17%Dist: 2m 3f 98y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%31/12Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%9/03Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%3/06Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%25/08
Projected finish1st of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-190/100
1
Value2
OR 90
13/2
Lelant silks

Chris Trigg & C Williams

Lelant

8yo Gelding · 12-0

Soldier Of Fortune - Ab Initio (Luso)

Adam Wedge60%1/10Mrs C Williams
611P85
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

A dual 21f chase winner last season (including on reappearance). Well held last 2 starts but has been given a chance by the handicapper ahead of this first run for 5 months.

Class Advantage

23/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/02 · mark par23/0216/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par5/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to FirmDist: 2m 3f 98y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%23/02Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%13/10Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 8 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 13%25/03Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%5/05
Projected finish2nd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-445/100
2
Market Fav3
OR 99
1/1
Expert Analysis silks

Mr G White

Expert Analysis

4yo Gelding · 11-13

Expert Eye - Aqualis (Sea The Stars)

Luke Scott60%−3lbJ Candlish60%
80P323
6.0
1st Hood +1

Fair Flat maiden in Ireland and looks an improved performer over hurdles for current yard, beaten a short head at Sedgefield before presumably finding the 10-day turnaround catching him out at Perth. Back out again quickly for chase debut up in trip (new headgear) but can surely find a race.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/1114/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/11 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to FirmDist: 2m 3f 98y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 15%4/11Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%10/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%14/09Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 75%24/09
Projected finish3rd of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-278/100
4
4
OR 76
14/1
Golly Gosh silks

Mr S R Andrews

Golly Gosh

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Soldier Of Fortune - Fantastic Gold (Fantastic Light)

Jack Andrews60%0/1T Ellis
767PP7
3.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Little encouragement over hurdles for Billy Aprahamian (sold out of the yard £5,500 in May) and needs a big step forward now chasing for his new yard (dam was a fairly useful 17f/2¼m winner over fences).

Class Advantage

24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/047/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par20/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to FirmDist: 2m 3f 98y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%24/04Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 45%7/12Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%2/02Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%11/02Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%20/05
Projected finish4th of 4
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-460/100