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13:30 · Fairyhouse

Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle

2mGood (Good to Yielding in places)4YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
13/8
State Pension silks

Alistair Spittal

State Pension

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Diamond Boy - Triplets Joy (Arcadio)

Cian Quirke60%0/1D H Kelly
21353
6.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful bumper winner that hasn't always looked the most straightforward of characters but made an encouraging start to life over hurdles when 2¼ lengths third of 16 to Dallas Star in maiden at Navan at 16 days ago. Obvious claims if able to build on that performance.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/096/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 40%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%21/09Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%22/02Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%6/04Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 87%19/09
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-472/100
1
2
OR 108
4/1
Crystal Mariner silks

Miss Rachel O'Neill

Crystal Mariner

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Sea The Stars - Crystal Zvezda (Dubawi)

Harry Sexton−7lbJ J Hanlon
227
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓6
Hood

Has yet to match the pick of his Flat form over hurdles but made a fair start when runner-up in maidens at Ballinrobe in August and Newton Abbot (beaten ¾ length by Explode) in September. Not seen to best effect with hood fitted at Navan last time and no surprise were he to fare better here.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/0629/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%8/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%5/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 93%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%7/09Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-477/100
8
4
8/1
Abando silks

Miss Rita Shah

Abando

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Adlerflug - Amalie (Areion)

James Smith0/1A McCann
3
5.0Class ↓7

Once contested the German Derby but showed only fair form in 1¼m events on the Flat for Jamie Osborne. Shaped as if better for the experience when 10½ lengths third of 13 to Telegram Sam in maiden at Roscommon 7 days ago. Open to improvement.

Class Advantage

19/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par19/0112/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par28/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%19/01Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%3/06Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%23/06Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%28/09
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-667/100
3
3
OR 106
16/1
Grey Fable silks

Derby Bar Syndicate

Grey Fable

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Starspangledbanner - Satwa Ruby (Verglas)

Ben HarveyK Thornton
5789
5.0
Tongue strap

Fair Flat winner, including at Dundalk in May. Has shown a bit over hurdles but would be of more interest in a handicap.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par26/0520/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par1/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%11/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%13/08Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%1/10
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%2-1139/100
2
5
11/2
Farney Bridge silks

John M Burke

Farney Bridge

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Casamento - Duffys Article (Definite Article)

Eoin Walsh0/1J M Burke
0144
5.0

Bumper winner who produced a reasonably encouraging effort when 16¼ lengths fourth of 15 to promising Reaching High in maiden at Listowel on hurdling debut. Should improve.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/0616/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/0722/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/0825/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 35%6/06Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%16/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%22/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 79%25/09
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-565/100
6
6
9/2
Midtown Manhattan silks

Duncan Angove

Midtown Manhattan

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Order Of St George - Clara Allen (Accordion)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%0/1H De Bromhead80%
19
2.0
Hood

Bred to stay well. Cost a pretty penny following 6½ lengths success on sole start in points. Hooded/too free to justify support in maiden hurdle at Ballinrobe (2¾m) in May. Drop back in trip may well help in the short term and he's entitled to do better for top yard.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/05
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 9 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 43%25/05
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%7-1250/100
10
7
33/1
Je Suis Celebre silks

Jagrel Ltd

Je Suis Celebre

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Massaat - Famusa (Medicean)

Daniel King60%0/1E McCarthy
F5
2.0

Showed ability on the Flat and looked set to place on debut for this yard when falling 3 out in maiden hurdle at Killarney last month, only a length down in second at the time. That form was boosted by the winner and third but he disappointed at Listowel last time and has a bit to prove now.

Class Advantage

7/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0120/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par28/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par3/07 · C8 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par26/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%7/01Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%25/04Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 64%26/09
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%5-1159/100
11
8
66/1
Little An Often silks

Anthony Harrington

Little An Often

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Elusive Pimpernel - Point The Toes (Atraf)

Ricky DoyleM Fahey
8
2.0

His pedigree suggests time and distance will be needed, and there was nothing in his Listowel debut to alter that impression.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%26/09
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%6-1150/100
7
10
50/1
Unfortunatecharlie silks

Mrs Shauna Kelly

Unfortunatecharlie

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Soldier Of Fortune - Charlie's Vic (Old Vic)

Erin Dunseath0/1−7lbN C Kelly
26218
2.0

Off mark in points at fourth attempt and looked one for the longer term in this sphere when mid-division in maiden at Kilbeggan last month.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 46%3/09
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%6-1150/100
12
9
50/1
Paidi's Pet silks

John Gerard Kelly

Paidi's Pet

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Yeats - Royal Queen (Royal Anthem)

Simon Torrens60%E McCarthy
8
2.0

Yeats gelding. Was prominent in the betting for a bumper at Listowel on debut but beaten a fair way. Makes hurdling debut.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 42%20/09
Projected finish10th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%6-1150/100
5
11
66/1
Geashill Poet silks

G Connolly

Geashill Poet

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Urban Poet - Randall's Rebecca (Excellent Art)

Kieren Buckley60%0/1A Murray
0
2.0

Made no impact in maiden hurdle at Kilbeggan on debut.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places) · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 10%3/09
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-1350/100