Catherine's Gift
4yo Filly · 11-4 · Draw 7
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 11/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |