3
Coeur De Roume
7yo Gelding · 11-3 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Machecoul | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Amiens | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |
| 24/09/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 06/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 79% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |