9
Dschingis Arrow
5yo Gelding · 10-4 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 25/09/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |