La Javanaise
9yo Mare · 10-11 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6886.5 /10 (raw 8.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 4th | 41270th | −34388 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 10/11/2025 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/12/2025 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 06/08/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 7% | -0.40 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 25/09/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 7% | +0.02 |