Mourat
4yo Gelding · 11-2 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 18/09/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |