Rigel
4yo Filly · 11-2 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap Challenge · 1m 4f 94y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Craon | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/02/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 7% | -0.40 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/07/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.20 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 27/09/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |