7

Chain Of Command

5yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 8

Deauville · Prix Du Pevele Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 94y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chelmsford City 11/11/2023 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f Std 13011/1144 @ Kempton 20/12/2023 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 1332 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS8/0422 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ ParisLongchamp 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS11/0622 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS20/0833 @ Saint-Cloud 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS7/093projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Saint-Cloud38th7th+1
2026-08-20Deauville37th6th+1
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud214th12th+2
2026-06-11ParisLongchamp27th5th+2
2026-05-09Compiegne29th7th+2
2026-04-08Deauville25th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/119/0520/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/20236th16/116%38%+0.22
20/12/202310th14/126%25%-0.01
08/04/20265th28/10%50%+0.50
09/05/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
11/06/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
28/06/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
20/08/20267th66/10%45%+0.45
07/09/20268th28/10%0%0.00