El Caney
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4
Deauville · Prix Du Pevele Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 94y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 8.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 15th | 11th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/05/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 31/05/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2026 | 16th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |