King Motif
8yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix Du Pevele Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 94y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |