6
Orion Rock
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Du Pevele Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 94y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength42%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |