3
Sonnaz
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 7
Deauville · Prix Du Pevele Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 94y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength1%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 14/07/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 23/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 09/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/03/2026 | 15th | 7/4 | 91% | 7% | -0.84 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 15/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |