9
Starac
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix Du Pevele Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 94y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength39%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 60/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.17 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |