3
Belvedere Palace
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2
Deauville · Prix De L'avesnois Handicap · 6f 101y
#13
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 06/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |