Match Anthem
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix De L'avesnois Handicap · 6f 101y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 06/03/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 47% | -0.09 |
| 26/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 14/09/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |