
Micoleo
7yo Gelding · 8-4 · Draw 14
Deauville · Prix De L'avesnois Handicap · 6f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 7.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 26/03/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/05/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/06/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |