8
Morus
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 11
Deauville · Prix De L'avesnois Handicap · 6f 101y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 75/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength3%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 20/07/2026 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 06/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/09/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/09/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |