Rocambolesque
5yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix De L'avesnois Handicap · 6f 101y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Pau | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/12/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 02/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 30/01/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |