1
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8yo Gelding · 10-6 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix Au-dela Des Pistes Handicap · 6f 101y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Argentan | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 01/10/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |