9

Gallius
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 14
Deauville · Prix Au-dela Des Pistes Handicap · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength38%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 8-12 · tight 74/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 23/06/2026 | 16th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/08/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/09/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |