11
Goldfield
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 5
Deauville · Prix Au-dela Des Pistes Handicap · 6f 101y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength36%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength0%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 12/05/2026 | 16th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 07/06/2026 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/08/2026 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/08/2026 | 16th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/09/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |