7
Itaewon
6yo Horse · 9-12 · Draw 10
Deauville · Prix Au-dela Des Pistes Handicap · 6f 101y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Amiens | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 79% | +0.08 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 27/05/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 21% | -0.60 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |