12

Out Of The Blue

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 13

Deauville · Prix Au-dela Des Pistes Handicap · 6f 101y

#12

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f100y Hvy 129 · HIGHER CLASS15/0233 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 7f100y Hvy 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS23/0333 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1396/0843 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 01/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS1/093C0 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 140C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13020/09C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Fontainebleau?6th7th−1
2026-09-14Chantilly?9th9th0
2026-09-01Deauville38th7th+1
2026-08-25Deauville37th6th+1
2026-08-06Les Sables44th4th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau314th13th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0211/041/0920/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
24/02/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
23/03/202610th8/158%0%-0.58
11/04/202614th12/137%7%-0.30
06/08/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
25/08/20267th16/116%54%+0.38
01/09/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
14/09/20269th22/10%47%+0.47
20/09/20266th22/10%29%+0.29