4

Tyson

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 7

Deauville · Prix Au-dela Des Pistes Handicap · 6f 101y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 13/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13013/12C?C0 @ Deauville 02/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1212 @ Chantilly 14/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS14/0423 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 136 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS19/0633 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS20/0833 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Chantilly 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 14014/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Chantilly?4th4th0
2026-08-25Deauville36th5th+1
2026-08-20Deauville39th8th+1
2026-07-18Dieppe311th10th+1
2026-06-19Chantilly34th3rd+1
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp311th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1214/0520/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 26/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20253rd18/15%86%+0.80
02/01/20263rd7/163%86%+0.23
14/04/202611th10/147%33%-0.14
14/05/202611th11/142%0%-0.42
19/06/20264th9/153%70%+0.17
18/07/202611th22/10%29%+0.29
20/08/20269th9/276%47%-0.30
25/08/20266th11/271%62%-0.10
14/09/20264th12/137%80%+0.43