Crack City
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.30 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 08/04/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 8% | -0.57 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 06/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/09/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |