El Madar
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 31% | -0.56 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 13/07/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 19/09/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |