2
Jiji My Love
5yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 12-13 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 85% | -0.06 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/08/2026 | 15th | 2/1 | 89% | 7% | -0.83 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 30% | -0.33 |
| 23/09/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 23% | -0.59 |