4
Lady Pink
7yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 13
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Pau | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 04/12/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 28/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/07/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |