Mehanydream
9yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 12
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 26/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |