Palimero
9yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 62% | -0.04 |
| 26/03/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 16/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 13/07/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.03 |
| 13/08/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/09/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |