Rue Du Sahel
5yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3
Deauville · Prix De La Sambre Handicap · 6f 101y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 8.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/11/2025 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 8% | -0.65 |
| 18/12/2025 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/06/2026 | 16th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |