5

Fete De Trop
2yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 6
Deauville · Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-11 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |