11

Havanista
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 8
Deauville · Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |