1
Lamego
2yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 9
Deauville · Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |