3
Mr Say
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 1
Deauville · Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |