4

Regal Chop

2yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4

Deauville · Prix De Cagnes-sur-Mer Claiming Stakes · 6f 101y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS18/0433 @ Chantilly 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 124 · HIGHER CLASS19/0533 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS12/063C5 @ Deauville 26/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13026/06C5C5 @ Amiens 27/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m44y Sft 12827/09C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Amiens?7th7th0
2026-06-26Deauville?9th9th0
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud37th5th+2
2026-05-19Chantilly35th3rd+2
2026-04-18Lyon-Parilly36th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0419/0512/0626/0627/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -10.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20266th22/10%29%+0.29
19/05/20265th20/10%56%+0.56
12/06/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
26/06/20269th28/10%11%+0.11
27/09/20267th28/10%0%0.00